InsightsBX-TRADE Commodity Research & Strategy

Species Weekly Briefs

Weekly

Illex Argentinus Weekly

No.WK17 · May 4, 2026

Base case advances to 40,187 MT on a third consecutive upward revision, even as accelerating maturation tightens the residual harvest window

Cumulative catch reaches 39,108 MT with the WK17 print at 2,463 MT — a third consecutive week above the persistent-tail threshold. The ensemble base case is revised up to 40,187 MT; expected value 40,423 MT, +5.4% versus WK16.

No.WK16 · April 29, 2026

Persistent-tail regime extends; second upward revision of the season

Cumulative catch reaches 36,628 MT on a +56.6% weekly rebound to 3,413 MT — the persistent-tail regime confirmed as multi-week. The ensemble base case is revised up to 38,058 MT, the season's second upward revision.

No.WK15 · April 22, 2026

Spawning aggregation released; all monitoring signals flip bearish

Cumulative catch at 33,208 MT; the weekly print falls to 2,174 MT, a 50.0% contraction from WK14. The four-model ensemble converges to a 35,261 MT base case — the tightest agreement of the season.